Grocery Price Check

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Sirloin steak prices this week

$8.55/lb average advertised sale price

−$2.45 vs last week −7.4% vs a year ago

Boneless · USDA-reported store count 342 · ads for the week of Oct 19, 2026

Last 4 weeks of ads
$9.57
vs $10.33 in the same weeks a year earlier (Sep 28–Oct 19, 2026)
BLS average retail price (September 2026)
$14.11
−0.2% vs a year earlier · includes regular prices
52-week range in ads
$7.97–$18.68
lowest to highest weekly average

What this number means: the average advertised sale price in grocery-store weekly ads across the US, not the price at any one store, and not the everyday shelf price. Sirloin steak, boneless, per lb; ads for the week of October 19, 2026.

Definition and sources
  • How it's averaged: each advertised price is weighted by the number of stores USDA reports running it. That store count is summed across qualifying ads, so a store running two qualifying ads may count twice.
  • USDA labels: “SIRLOIN STEAK, BONELESS” / “BNLS SIRLOIN STEAK”.
  • Data week: ads for the week of October 19, 2026, published by USDA on October 23, 2026. USDA publishes these weekly, on Fridays; this site checks for new reports every 30 minutes.
  • Coverage: USDA-reported store count 342, 8 of 8 regions. History since 2014.
  • BLS comparison: a close match. BLS: boneless sirloin steak, per lb. BLS averages include both sale and regular prices.
  • Sources: USDA AMS “Weekly Grocery Store Beef Feature Activity” (report 3228); BLS series APU0000703613. How we check the data.
In the store?See whether the sirloin steak price in front of you is a good one.
Check a sirloin steak price

Experimental · model leans up

Using wholesale Choice boxed beef through September 2026, the model expects the BLS average price of sirloin steak for October 2026 to come in above September 2026's.

In an expanding-window historical backtest (2023-07 to 2026-09, 36 months), this model called the BLS price's monthly direction right in 56% of months. The same model using only last month's change got 53%; always guessing the most common direction got 33%. Evidence vs the naive guess: weak (unadjusted p = 1; the signal was picked after looking at the full history, so treat it as exploratory). In months it called up, the BLS price moved +0.9% on average (29 months); called down, −0.3% (7 months). Not shopping advice. Full record.

Sirloin steak prices by region

Week of Oct 19, 2026, cheapest first. Bar: price relative to the priciest region. Chip: last 4 weeks vs the same weeks a year earlier.

South central $6.99–
Midwest $8.48−9.4%
Southeast (few stores) $9.59−4.5%
Northeast $9.71−5.7%
Southwest no ad this week (last: $8.99, week of Oct 5, 2026)
Alaska no ad this week (last: $9.99, week of Aug 10, 2026)
Hawaii no ad this week (last: $10.49, week of Dec 22, 2025)
Northwest no ad this week (last: $14.99, week of Jul 27, 2026)
United States $8.55−7.4%

The US figure reflects both prices and which stores and regions advertised, so it can move differently from every region.

The last 52 weeks

Average ad price
$7.50 $10 $12.50 $15 $17.50 10-2012-0801-2603-1605-0406-2208-1009-28

52-week low $7.97, high $18.68.

Sirloin steak prices since 2014

BLS average retail priceAverage ad price (USDA)
$5 $7.50 $10 $12.50 $15 2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Ad prices are sale prices, so they usually sit below the BLS average retail price, which includes both sale and regular prices. How closely the two track each other varies by item: see the checks.

Good time to buy?

Low line this season: $9.41/lb (US). The latest average ad price, $8.55, is at or below it. In past weeks at or below the line, the ad price fell more than 2% further within 4 weeks 41.1% of the time, compared with 77.2% of all weeks (141 weeks over 10 years). That isn't rare enough to call it a good price outright.

In October, neither buying now nor waiting a week has had a dependable edge for sirloin steak (tested over 4 years).

The line is set each week from the same season in the previous 3 years, scaled to recent prices; both results come from tests that only use data available at the time. Check a store price · How these are tested.

Best time of year to buy

We haven't found a calendar pattern strong enough to plan around for sirloin steak: the months that looked lowest-priced in earlier years came in below the trend in 5 of 8 later years, by 2.2% on average.

−1.5%Jan−3.9%Feb−1.4%Mar−0.9%Apr+3.1%May+4.0%Jun+2.8%Jul+2.5%Aug−0.8%Sep+2.1%Oct−3.1%Nov−3.3%Dec

Descriptive pattern, all years: each month's average advertised sale price compared with the item's average over the 13 months around it (so inflation and price spikes don't tilt it), 2014 through April 2026. Below zero = lower than the trend. Months less than 6 months old aren't measured yet. A month is named only if this method, picking from earlier years alone, came in below the trend in at least 80% of at least 8 later years, by at least 2% on average, with no more than 4 months picked (claims policy v1).Every year's picks and results.

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Weekly prices, US and regions (CSV) · Monthly ad and BLS prices (CSV) · Report a correction

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Free to use with a link back. The chart updates itself when new USDA data arrives.

Monthly data table
MonthAd priceBLS average
2026-10$9.31–
2026-09$9.41$14.11
2026-08$10.62$14.36
2026-07$10.74$14.59
2026-06$10.61$14.45
2026-05$12.85$14.27
2026-04$11.19$14.73
2026-03$10.14$14.12
2026-02$10.41$14.19
2026-01$9.55$13.84
2025-12$8.90$14.03
2025-11$9.96$13.34
2025-10$9.94–
2025-09$10.26$14.13
2025-08$11.20$14.32
2025-07$10.09$13.55
2025-06$9.40$12.92
2025-05$8.64$12.21
2025-04$8.53$12.33
2025-03$8.24$11.92
2025-02$7.56$11.90
2025-01$7.84$11.96
2024-12$8.03$11.67
2024-11$8.02$12.01
2024-10$8.69$11.50
2024-09$8.31$11.79
2024-08$7.72$11.54
2024-07$7.51$11.73
2024-06$7.52$11.46
2024-05$7.39$11.56
2024-04$7.03$11.66
2024-03$7.52$11.54
2024-02$7.12$11.72
2024-01$7.36$11.64
2023-12$6.80$11.69
2023-11$7.21$11.53
2023-10$7.59$11.70
2023-09$6.84$11.63
2023-08$7.20$11.43
2023-07$7.21$11.51
2023-06$6.93$11.16
2023-05$6.60$10.75
2023-04$6.16$10.61
2023-03$6.21$10.28
2023-02$6.55$10.29
2023-01$6.43$10.31
2022-12$7.28$10.17
2022-11$6.99$10.27
2022-10$6.61$10.50
2022-09$6.08$10.54
2022-08$5.89$10.31
2022-07$6.27$10.57
2022-06$6.59$10.72
2022-05$6.21$10.45
2022-04$6.16$10.66
2022-03$6.41$10.66
2022-02$6.65$10.58
2022-01$6.42$10.83
2021-12$6.32$11.05
2021-11$6.35$11.51
2021-10$6.97$11.65
2021-09$6.73$11.01
2021-08$6.58$10.60
2021-07$7.16$10.54
2021-06$6.97$10.78
2021-05$7.16$9.89
2021-04$5.46$9.34
2021-03$5.04$9.13
2021-02$5.13$9.08
2021-01$5.70$9.15
2020-12$5.06$8.98
2020-11$4.76$8.88
2020-10$5.58$8.93
2020-09$5.00$8.79
2020-08$5.54$8.88
2020-07$5.87$9.41
2020-06$5.95$10.42
2020-05$5.55$9.48
2020-04$5.44$8.60
2020-03$5.78$8.27
2020-02$5.44$8.33
2020-01$5.66$8.44
2019-12$5.42$8.48
2019-11$5.55$8.32
2019-10$5.57$8.22
2019-09$5.60$8.08
2019-08$5.41$8.13
2019-07$5.48$8.28
2019-06$5.62$8.13
2019-05$5.60$8.66
2019-04$5.92$8.71
2019-03$5.69$8.57
2019-02$5.79$8.53
2019-01$5.81$8.35
2018-12$5.14$8.31
2018-11$4.97$8.38
2018-10$5.31$8.33
2018-09$5.12$8.54
2018-08$5.33$8.56
2018-07$5.36$8.55
2018-06$5.18$8.51
2018-05$5.49$8.25
2018-04$5.43$8.55
2018-03$5.42$8.34
2018-02$4.97$8.30
2018-01$5.40$8.21
2017-12$5.52$7.93
2017-11$4.99$7.91
2017-10$5.22$8.04
2017-09$5.53$8.08
2017-08$5.47$8.25
2017-07$5.37$8.36
2017-06$5.82$8.35
2017-05$5.93$8.08
2017-04$5.72$8.08
2017-03$5.40$7.86
2017-02$4.86$7.85
2017-01$4.73$7.79
2016-12$4.97$7.91
2016-11$4.98$7.94
2016-10$5.29$8.32
2016-09$5.12$8.59
2016-08$5.09$8.54
2016-07$5.45$8.52
2016-06$5.94$8.69
2016-05$5.85$8.68
2016-04$5.62$8.50
2016-03$5.76$8.51
2016-02$5.32$8.28
2016-01$5.67$8.14
2015-12$6.15$8.29
2015-11$5.77$8.72
2015-10$6.11$8.80
2015-09$5.82$8.86
2015-08$6.87$8.70
2015-07$6.37$8.84
2015-06$6.24$8.84
2015-05$6.55$8.82
2015-04$6.14$8.33
2015-03$6.06$8.37
2015-02$6.03$8.19
2015-01$6.38$8.08
2014-12$5.60$8.15
2014-11$6.01$8.28
2014-10$5.82$8.10
2014-09$5.77$8.23
2014-08$6.00$8.25
2014-07$5.72$7.87
2014-06$5.91$7.69
2014-05$5.64$7.59
2014-04$5.24$7.36
2014-03$5.21$7.05
2014-02$5.29$6.97
2014-01$5.42$6.77